Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Mestsky stadion v Kotline
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.75) 0.52 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 28.5% 14.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
0 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Velké Hamry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varnsdorf 0 15.6% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 10.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarnsdorfVelké Hamry
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack32%26%
Defense26%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varnsdorf Velké Hamry
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins0%0%0%60%25%44%
Draws75%0%38%20%0%11%
Loses25%100%63%20%75%44%

Form: Varnsdorf: LLDLDDLL • Velké Hamry: WDLWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Varnsdorf Velké Hamry
HATHAT
GF total53813215
GF avg1.30.81.02.60.51.7
GA total614206713
GA avg1.53.52.51.21.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarnsdorfVelké Hamry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%67%78%
1.525%75%44%44%
2.513%38%44%22%
3.50%25%11%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarnsdorfVelké Hamry
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score033123

Penalties

MetricVarnsdorfVelké Hamry
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVarnsdorfVelké Hamry
Wins01
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-1
Biggest losses1-25-00-13-0
Goals For2341
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricVarnsdorfVelké Hamry
Form25%75%
Att55%45%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : Varnsdorf or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Superbet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Superbet
No2.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Varnsdorf = 1.34 (league 1.75), Velké Hamry = 0.52 (league 1.44)

Velké Hamry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varnsdorf 0 15.6% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 10.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 14.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1