Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:00 • Football pitch Velvary
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.81 (league 1.73) 1.60 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 11.5% 10.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.6%
4 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Varnsdorf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slovan Velvary 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.9% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
5 3.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSlovan VelvaryVarnsdorf
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack37%21%
Defense53%26%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Slovan Velvary Varnsdorf
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins13%14%13%0%0%0%
Draws25%0%13%38%14%27%
Loses63%86%73%63%86%73%

Form: Slovan Velvary: LLDLDLLLLLLLLWW • Varnsdorf: LLDLDDLLLLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Slovan Velvary Varnsdorf
HATHAT
GF total167237613
GF avg2.01.01.50.90.90.9
GA total211940212344
GA avg2.62.72.72.63.32.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSlovan VelvaryVarnsdorf
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%100%60%100%
1.540%80%20%80%
2.533%53%7%53%
3.57%20%0%33%
4.50%13%0%27%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSlovan VelvaryVarnsdorf
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score224246

Penalties

MetricSlovan VelvaryVarnsdorf
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSlovan VelvaryVarnsdorf
Wins00
Draws12
Losses85

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-3——
Biggest losses0-35-10-55-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against5555

Model comparison

MetricSlovan VelvaryVarnsdorf
Form86%14%
Att64%36%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h9%91%
Goals24%76%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Slovan Velvary or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Bet365
Draw4.55 @ Pinnacle
Away6.17 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Marathonbet
No2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Slovan Velvary = 3.81 (league 1.73), Varnsdorf = 1.60 (league 1.46)

Varnsdorf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slovan Velvary 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.9% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
5 3.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 10.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1