Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 19:00 • Stade Francis Turcan
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.95) 4.34 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.8% 6.4% 62.8%
best score tips
1 - 4
7.1%
0 - 4
6.9%
1 - 3
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Le Havre W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille W 0 0.5% 2.0% 4.4% 6.4% 6.9% 6.0%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.5% 7.1% 6.1%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.6% 3.1%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarseille WLe Havre W
Played11
Form0%33%
Attack7%14%
Defense79%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 32 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marseille W Le Havre W
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins0%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%100%100%
Loses100%100%0%0%

Form: Marseille W: L • Le Havre W: D

League goals

Metric Marseille W Le Havre W
HATHAT
GF total011202
GF avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0
GA total033202
GA avg0.03.03.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarseille WLe Havre W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.50%100%100%100%
2.50%100%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarseille WLe Havre W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMarseille WLe Havre W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMarseille WLe Havre W
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses3-1
Goals For0120
Goals Against0320

Model comparison

MetricMarseille WLe Havre W
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Le Havre W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ SBO
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.43 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marseille W = 1.02 (league 1.95), Le Havre W = 4.34 (league 1.38)

Le Havre W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille W 0 0.5% 2.0% 4.4% 6.4% 6.9% 6.0%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.5% 7.1% 6.1%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.6% 3.1%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.8% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 62.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1