Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:00 •
Stade François Blin
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.95)
1.45 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.0% | 18.0% | 20.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
7.4%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Nantes W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lens W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 33% | 50% |
| Attack | 17% | 22% |
| Defense | 83% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 6 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
97%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lens W | Nantes W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Lens W: DD • Nantes W: WL
League goals
| Metric | Lens W | Nantes W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lens W | Nantes W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lens W | Nantes W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lens W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lens W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lens W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Lens W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lens W = 2.56 (league 1.95), Nantes W = 1.45 (league 1.38)
| Nantes W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.0% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 20.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1