Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 19:00 •
Groupama Stadium
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.95)
0.72 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.3% | 25.7% | 17.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Paris Saint Germain W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lyon W | 0 | 10.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lyon W | Paris Saint Germain W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 28% | 33% |
| Defense | 94% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 2.5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
89%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lyon W | Paris Saint Germain W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Lyon W: WW • Paris Saint Germain W: DW
League goals
| Metric | Lyon W | Paris Saint Germain W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lyon W | Paris Saint Germain W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lyon W | Paris Saint Germain W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lyon W | Paris Saint Germain W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lyon W | Paris Saint Germain W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 5-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lyon W | Paris Saint Germain W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 66.6% | 33.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Lyon W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lyon W = 1.54 (league 1.95), Paris Saint Germain W = 0.72 (league 1.38)
| Paris Saint Germain W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lyon W | 0 | 10.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 17.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1