Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:00 •
Stade Salif Keita
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.96)
1.50 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.2% | 25.7% | 62.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.2%
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Marseille W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Étienne W | 0 | 14.1% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 0% | 0% |
| Attack | 4% | 7% |
| Defense | 78% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 7 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Marseille W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Saint-Étienne W: LLL • Marseille W: LLL
League goals
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Marseille W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Saint-Étienne W | Marseille W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Marseille W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 0% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Marseille W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Saint-Étienne W = 0.46 (league 1.96), Marseille W = 1.50 (league 1.34)
| Marseille W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Étienne W | 0 | 14.1% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.2% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 62.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1