Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:00 •
Degouve-Brabant Stadium
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.92)
3.75 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4% | 7.1% | 71.7% |
best score tips
0 - 3
10.0%
0 - 4
9.4%
0 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Lyon W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 1.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lens W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 22% | 100% |
| Attack | 24% | 44% |
| Defense | 72% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 11 | 3.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lens W | Lyon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Lens W: DDL • Lyon W: WWW
League goals
| Metric | Lens W | Lyon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 3.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lens W | Lyon W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lens W | Lyon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lens W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lens W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 6-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lens W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 18% | 82% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 25.0% | 75.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Lyon W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lens W = 0.73 (league 1.92), Lyon W = 3.75 (league 1.33)
| Lyon W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 1.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 71.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1