Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:00 •
Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.95)
1.45 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.3% | 24.4% | 35.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Lens W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier W | 0 | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 17% |
| Attack | 75% | 88% |
| Defense | 13% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 7 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 15 | 3.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
88%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Montpellier W: LLLW • Lens W: DDLL
League goals
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 3.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montpellier W | Lens W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1-8 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Montpellier W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montpellier W = 1.54 (league 1.95), Lens W = 1.45 (league 1.38)
| Lens W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier W | 0 | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 35.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1