Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:00 • Stade Charlety
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.95) 1.45 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 24.4% 35.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC W 0 5.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.8% 11.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis FC WMarseille W
Played44
Form75%25%
Attack88%75%
Defense63%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.86 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.87 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris FC W Marseille W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%100%50%75%

Form: Paris FC W: WWWL • Marseille W: LLLW

League goals

Metric Paris FC W Marseille W
HATHAT
GF total437156
GF avg2.01.51.80.52.51.5
GA total033437
GA avg0.01.50.82.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis FC WMarseille W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%75%75%
1.575%25%25%75%
2.50%25%25%25%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis FC WMarseille W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricParis FC WMarseille W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricParis FC WMarseille W
Wins30
Draws00
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-2—0-4
Biggest losses—3-10-23-1
Goals For2214
Goals Against0323

Model comparison

MetricParis FC WMarseille W
Form75%25%
Att54%46%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h64%36%
Goals63%38%
Total65.2%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Paris FC W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Bet365
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away6.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.42 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris FC W = 1.54 (league 1.95), Marseille W = 1.45 (league 1.38)

Marseille W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC W 0 5.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.8% 11.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 35.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1