Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 20:00 • Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.83 (league 1.96) 1.12 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.7% 9.0% 6.3%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.4%
4 - 1
7.1%
3 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Paris FC W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon W 0 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.2% 5.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.9% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyon WParis FC W
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack100%76%
Defense76%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)25 | 513 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

65%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon W Paris FC W
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins100%100%100%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%20%

Form: Lyon W: WWWWW • Paris FC W: WWWLW

League goals

Metric Lyon W Paris FC W
HATHAT
GF total15102510313
GF avg5.05.05.03.31.52.6
GA total314134
GA avg1.00.50.80.31.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyon WParis FC W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%100%40%
1.5100%0%80%20%
2.580%0%20%20%
3.560%0%20%0%
4.560%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyon WParis FC W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLyon WParis FC W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLyon WParis FC W
Wins53
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-86-10-2
Biggest losses———3-1
Goals For6862
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricLyon WParis FC W
Form56%44%
Att66%34%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h85%15%
Goals79%21%
Total69.5%30.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Lyon W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.10 @ William Hill
Draw9.44 @ Pinnacle
Away23.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lyon W = 3.83 (league 1.96), Paris FC W = 1.12 (league 1.34)

Paris FC W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon W 0 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.2% 5.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.9% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.7% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 6.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1