Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 18:00 •
Degouve-Brabant Stadium
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.96)
3.22 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | 12.5% | 67.1% |
best score tips
1 - 3
8.1%
1 - 2
7.6%
0 - 3
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Paris FC W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lens W | Paris FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 60% |
| Attack | 44% | 69% |
| Defense | 0% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 21 | 4.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lens W | Paris FC W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
Form: Lens W: DDLLLL • Paris FC W: WWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Lens W | Paris FC W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 4.3 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lens W | Paris FC W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 100% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 83% | 67% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 67% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lens W | Paris FC W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lens W | Paris FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lens W | Paris FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 6-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 4-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lens W | Paris FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 10% | 90% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 19% | 81% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 24.0% | 76.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paris FC W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lens W = 1.13 (league 1.96), Paris FC W = 3.22 (league 1.34)
| Paris FC W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 67.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1