Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:00 •
Stade Salif Keita
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.86)
2.03 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2% | 21.4% | 46.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Paris Saint Germain W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Étienne W | 0 | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Paris Saint Germain W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 29% | 64% |
| Defense | 29% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Paris Saint Germain W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 14% | 100% | 33% | 71% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 67% | 75% | 71% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Saint-Étienne W: LLLLDWL • Paris Saint Germain W: DWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Paris Saint Germain W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Saint-Étienne W | Paris Saint Germain W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 29% | 86% | 100% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 86% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 29% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 29% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Paris Saint Germain W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Paris Saint Germain W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Paris Saint Germain W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | — | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | — | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Paris Saint Germain W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 35.0% | 65.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Saint-Étienne W = 1.61 (league 1.86), Paris Saint Germain W = 2.03 (league 1.33)
| Paris Saint Germain W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Étienne W | 0 | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 46.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1