Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 20:00 •
Degouve-Brabant Stadium
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.86)
0.86 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.1% | 29.6% | 26.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Saint-Étienne W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 12.7% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lens W | Saint-Étienne W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 27% |
| Attack | 18% | 29% |
| Defense | 0% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lens W | Saint-Étienne W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
Form: Lens W: DDLLLLLL • Saint-Étienne W: LLLLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Lens W | Saint-Étienne W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GA avg | 3.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lens W | Saint-Étienne W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 38% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 88% | 13% | 88% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 50% | 13% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 38% | 13% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lens W | Saint-Étienne W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lens W | Saint-Étienne W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lens W | Saint-Étienne W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lens W | Saint-Étienne W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Saint-Étienne W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lens W = 1.21 (league 1.86), Saint-Étienne W = 0.86 (league 1.33)
| Saint-Étienne W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 12.7% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 26.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1