Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 12:00 •
Stade Marcel Saupin
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.75)
1.76 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 17.0% | 21.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.1%
3 - 1
6.8%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Marseille W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nantes W | 0 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nantes W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 62% | 38% |
| Defense | 15% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nantes W | Marseille W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 60% | 67% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
Form: Nantes W: WLWWLLWWW • Marseille W: LLLWLDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Nantes W | Marseille W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 16 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nantes W | Marseille W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 44% | 22% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 33% | 11% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 22% | 11% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 22% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nantes W | Marseille W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nantes W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nantes W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 3-4 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 6-1 | 1-5 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nantes W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nantes W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nantes W = 2.85 (league 1.75), Marseille W = 1.76 (league 1.33)
| Marseille W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nantes W | 0 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 21.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1