Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 20:00 •
Paris Saint-Germain Training Center
Expected Goals
4.41 (league 1.91)
0.55 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
best score tips
4 - 0
11.0%
3 - 0
10.0%
5 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Montpellier W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris Saint Germain W | 0 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 62% |
| Defense | 85% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 60% | 78% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 11% | 60% | 100% | 78% |
Form: Paris Saint Germain W: DWLWWWWWW • Montpellier W: LLLWWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paris Saint Germain W | Montpellier W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 56% | 100% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 22% | 44% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 11% | 11% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 11% | 0% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 6-1 | 1-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 81.4% | 18.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Paris Saint Germain W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain W = 4.41 (league 1.91), Montpellier W = 0.55 (league 1.36)
| Montpellier W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris Saint Germain W | 0 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 3.8% · Away win 1.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
