Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 20:00 • Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.86) 2.10 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.9% 19.7% 35.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
6.9%
1 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montpellier W 0 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4%
1 2.9% 6.1% 6.5% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 2.4% 5.1% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontpellier WMarseille W
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack58%33%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 39 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montpellier W Marseille W
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%0%20%20%20%20%
Draws0%20%10%20%20%20%
Loses60%80%70%60%60%60%

Form: Montpellier W: LLLWWLLLLD • Marseille W: LLLWLDDWLL

League goals

Metric Montpellier W Marseille W
HATHAT
GF total88164711
GF avg1.61.61.60.81.41.1
GA total10132391322
GA avg2.02.62.31.82.62.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontpellier WMarseille W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%90%70%70%
1.550%80%20%60%
2.510%30%10%40%
3.50%20%10%20%
4.50%10%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontpellier WMarseille W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricMontpellier WMarseille W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMontpellier WMarseille W
Wins21
Draws02
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-00-4
Biggest losses1-54-21-56-1
Goals For3224
Goals Against5456

Model comparison

MetricMontpellier WMarseille W
Form17%83%
Att64%36%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h93%7%
Goals83%17%
Total58.7%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Montpellier W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away3.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montpellier W = 2.24 (league 1.86), Marseille W = 2.10 (league 1.33)

Marseille W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montpellier W 0 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4%
1 2.9% 6.1% 6.5% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 2.4% 5.1% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.9% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1