Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 20:00 •
Stade Salif Keita
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.86)
1.80 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.9% | 22.3% | 62.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 2
13.3%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Dijon W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Étienne W | 0 | 8.2% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Dijon W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 42% | 42% |
| Defense | 25% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Dijon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 50% | 30% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 30% |
| Loses | 75% | 67% | 70% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Saint-Étienne W: LLLLDWLLLD • Dijon W: LWLLDWDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Dijon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Saint-Étienne W | Dijon W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 30% | 80% | 60% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 70% | 20% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Dijon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Dijon W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Dijon W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Dijon W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Dijon W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Saint-Étienne W = 0.70 (league 1.86), Dijon W = 1.80 (league 1.33)
| Dijon W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Étienne W | 0 | 8.2% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.9% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 62.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1