Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 20:00 •
Stade Charlety
Expected Goals
5.30 (league 1.81)
0.66 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
best score tips
5 - 0
9.0%
4 - 0
8.5%
3 - 0
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Nantes W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris FC W | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paris FC W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 80% |
| Attack | 88% | 100% |
| Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paris FC W | Nantes W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 64% | 67% | 60% | 64% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
Form: Paris FC W: WWWLWLWWWDD • Nantes W: WLWWLLWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Paris FC W | Nantes W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 5 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paris FC W | Nantes W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 45% | 91% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 9% | 73% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 27% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paris FC W | Nantes W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paris FC W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paris FC W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-2 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paris FC W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Advice: Winner : Paris FC W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paris FC W = 5.30 (league 1.81), Nantes W = 0.66 (league 1.34)
| Nantes W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris FC W | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 2.3% · Away win 0.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1