Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 18:00 •
Stade Roger Lebert
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.75)
0.27 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.5% | 51.1% | 14.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
44.4%
1 - 0
24.3%
0 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Saint-Étienne W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marseille W | 0 | 44.4% | 11.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.3% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marseille W | Saint-Étienne W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 88% | 13% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marseille W | Saint-Étienne W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 27% | 20% | 0% | 9% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 33% | 18% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 55% | 80% | 67% | 73% |
Form: Marseille W: LLLWLDDWLLW • Saint-Étienne W: LLLLDWLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Marseille W | Saint-Étienne W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marseille W | Saint-Étienne W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 64% | 27% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 55% | 9% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 36% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 18% | 9% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marseille W | Saint-Étienne W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marseille W | Saint-Étienne W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marseille W | Saint-Étienne W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 6-1 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marseille W | Saint-Étienne W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 88% | 13% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 74.3% | 26.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Marseille W or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marseille W = 0.55 (league 1.75), Saint-Étienne W = 0.27 (league 1.36)
| Saint-Étienne W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marseille W | 0 | 44.4% | 11.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.3% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.5% · Draw 51.1% · Away win 14.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1