Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 18:00 • Stade Gaston-Gérard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.75) 3.18 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.2% 10.8% 72.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.8%
0 - 2
9.2%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon W 0 1.8% 5.8% 9.2% 9.8% 7.8% 5.0%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.6% 8.0% 6.4% 4.1%
2 0.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDijon WParis Saint Germain W
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack50%100%
Defense38%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.815 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dijon W Paris Saint Germain W
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%60%36%67%60%64%
Draws50%0%27%33%20%27%
Loses33%40%36%0%20%9%

Form: Dijon W: LWLLDWDWLDW • Paris Saint Germain W: DWLWWWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Dijon W Paris Saint Germain W
HATHAT
GF total549141226
GF avg0.80.80.82.32.42.4
GA total114154913
GA avg1.80.81.40.71.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDijon WParis Saint Germain W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%91%55%
1.518%27%55%27%
2.50%18%36%9%
3.50%9%36%9%
4.50%0%18%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDijon WParis Saint Germain W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022415
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricDijon WParis Saint Germain W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricDijon WParis Saint Germain W
Wins16
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-01-5
Biggest losses0-42-0—6-1
Goals For2255
Goals Against4226

Model comparison

MetricDijon WParis Saint Germain W
Form42%58%
Att21%79%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%100%
Goals16%84%
Total29.2%70.8%

Advice: Winner : Paris Saint Germain W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dijon W = 0.82 (league 1.75), Paris Saint Germain W = 3.18 (league 1.36)

Paris Saint Germain W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon W 0 1.8% 5.8% 9.2% 9.8% 7.8% 5.0%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.6% 8.0% 6.4% 4.1%
2 0.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.2% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 72.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1