Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:00 •
Degouve-Brabant Stadium
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.86)
2.44 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.3% | 18.2% | 60.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 2
7.8%
1 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Strasbourg W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 2.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lens W | Strasbourg W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 63% | 38% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lens W | Strasbourg W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Draws | 17% | 40% | 27% | 40% | 33% | 36% |
| Loses | 50% | 60% | 55% | 40% | 33% | 36% |
Form: Lens W: DDLLLLLLWDW • Strasbourg W: DDWLLDWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Lens W | Strasbourg W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lens W | Strasbourg W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 91% | 45% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 64% | 36% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 36% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 27% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lens W | Strasbourg W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lens W | Strasbourg W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lens W | Strasbourg W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lens W | Strasbourg W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Lens W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lens W = 1.21 (league 1.86), Strasbourg W = 2.44 (league 1.33)
| Strasbourg W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 2.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 60.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1