Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • Paris Saint-Germain Training Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.75) 2.17 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.4% 15.9% 76.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.1%
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 3
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lyon W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain W 0 7.7% 16.8% 18.1% 13.1% 7.1% 3.1%
1 3.0% 6.6% 7.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
2 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis Saint Germain WLyon W
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense77%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 314 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.60 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris Saint Germain W Lyon W
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%71%69%100%83%92%
Draws33%14%23%0%17%8%
Loses0%14%8%0%0%0%

Form: Paris Saint Germain W: DWLWWWWWWDDWW • Lyon W: WWWWWWWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Paris Saint Germain W Lyon W
HATHAT
GF total142034252550
GF avg2.32.92.63.64.23.8
GA total4913325
GA avg0.71.31.00.40.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis Saint Germain WLyon W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%46%92%38%
1.562%23%77%0%
2.546%8%69%0%
3.546%8%46%0%
4.515%8%46%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis Saint Germain WLyon W
HATHAT
Clean sheets437448
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricParis Saint Germain WLyon W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricParis Saint Germain WLyon W
Wins612
Draws20
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-56-11-8
Biggest losses—6-1——
Goals For5568
Goals Against2611

Model comparison

MetricParis Saint Germain WLyon W
Form46%54%
Att52%48%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%88%
Total33.3%67.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lyon W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.50 @ Betfair
Draw5.58 @ Pinnacle
Away1.36 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain W = 0.39 (league 1.75), Lyon W = 2.17 (league 1.36)

Lyon W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain W 0 7.7% 16.8% 18.1% 13.1% 7.1% 3.1%
1 3.0% 6.6% 7.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
2 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.4% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 76.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1