Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 18:00 • Stade Gaston-Gérard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.78) 0.46 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.5% 44.2% 22.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.7%
1 - 0
21.2%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Saint-Étienne W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon W 0 33.7% 15.4% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 9.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDijon WSaint-Étienne W
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack26%11%
Defense68%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dijon W Saint-Étienne W
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins13%50%31%13%13%13%
Draws50%25%38%13%25%19%
Loses38%25%31%75%63%69%

Form: Dijon W: LWLLDWDWLDWLDWDD • Saint-Étienne W: LLLLDWLLLDLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Dijon W Saint-Étienne W
HATHAT
GF total6814628
GF avg0.81.00.90.80.30.5
GA total16521171128
GA avg2.00.61.32.11.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDijon WSaint-Étienne W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%31%81%
1.519%25%6%56%
2.56%19%6%19%
3.50%13%6%19%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDijon WSaint-Étienne W
HATHAT
Clean sheets044033
Failed to score3365611

Penalties

MetricDijon WSaint-Étienne W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricDijon WSaint-Étienne W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-20-1
Biggest losses0-42-00-44-0
Goals For2341
Goals Against4244

Model comparison

MetricDijon WSaint-Étienne W
Form60%40%
Att71%29%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Dijon W or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dijon W = 0.63 (league 1.78), Saint-Étienne W = 0.46 (league 1.31)

Saint-Étienne W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dijon W 0 33.7% 15.4% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 9.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 44.2% · Away win 22.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1