Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 15:15 • Paris Saint-Germain Training Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.73) 0.84 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.7% 16.5% 11.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain W 0 3.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.3% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis Saint Germain WMarseille W
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack74%37%
Defense95%32%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris Saint Germain W Marseille W
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%75%69%13%38%25%
Draws25%13%19%13%25%19%
Loses13%13%13%75%38%56%

Form: Paris Saint Germain W: DWLWWWWWWDDWWLWW • Marseille W: LLLWLDDWLLWLDLWL

League goals

Metric Paris Saint Germain W Marseille W
HATHAT
GF total17234061521
GF avg2.12.92.50.81.91.3
GA total5914191635
GA avg0.61.10.92.42.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis Saint Germain WMarseille W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%44%69%75%
1.563%19%31%56%
2.550%6%19%38%
3.538%6%13%19%
4.513%6%0%19%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis Saint Germain WMarseille W
HATHAT
Clean sheets549224
Failed to score202415

Penalties

MetricParis Saint Germain WMarseille W
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricParis Saint Germain WMarseille W
Wins61
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-52-00-4
Biggest losses0-16-12-66-1
Goals For5524
Goals Against2666

Model comparison

MetricParis Saint Germain WMarseille W
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def93%7%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h100%0%
Goals91%9%
Total81.2%18.8%

Advice: Double chance : Paris Saint Germain W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ Unibet
Draw8.50 @ Betfair
Away19.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain W = 2.43 (league 1.73), Marseille W = 0.84 (league 1.36)

Marseille W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain W 0 3.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.3% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 11.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1