Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade Salif Keita
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.73)
1.29 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.8% | 28.3% | 44.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lens W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Étienne W | 0 | 10.8% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 7% | 27% |
| Defense | 20% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 30% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 11% | 22% | 17% | 10% | 38% | 22% |
| Loses | 78% | 67% | 72% | 60% | 63% | 61% |
Form: Saint-Étienne W: LLLLDWLLLDLWLDLLLL • Lens W: DDLLLLLLWDWLLDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 20 | 13 | 33 | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Saint-Étienne W | Lens W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 28% | 83% | 61% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 61% | 28% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 22% | 6% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-8 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Saint-Étienne W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 33.3% | 66.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lens W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Saint-Étienne W = 0.93 (league 1.73), Lens W = 1.29 (league 1.36)
| Lens W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Étienne W | 0 | 10.8% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 44.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1