Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 17:30 •
Stade Roger Lebert
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.57)
2.18 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | 20.0% | 59.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Montpellier W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marseille W | 0 | 3.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marseille W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 7% |
| Attack | 50% | 33% |
| Defense | 17% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marseille W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 13% | 30% | 22% | 22% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 13% | 30% | 22% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Loses | 75% | 40% | 56% | 67% | 78% | 72% |
Marseille WLLLWLDDWLLWLDLWLLD
Montpellier WLLLWWLLLLDLLDLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Marseille W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 18 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 19 | 20 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marseille W | Montpellier W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 78% | 89% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 61% | 39% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 6% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 17% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marseille W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marseille W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marseille W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-6 | 6-1 | 1-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marseille W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 47.2% | 53.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ BetVictor
📊
League standings
Loading standings…