Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 11:30 • Jalan Besar Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.67) 1.50 (league 2.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 24.4% 38.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Albirex Niigata S
0 1 2 3 4 5
Home United 0 5.1% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.5% 11.3% 8.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.7% 4.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHome UnitedAlbirex Niigata S
Played43
Form100%78%
Attack86%36%
Defense91%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 4.88 | 2.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Home United Albirex Niigata S
HATHAT
Played224123
Wins100%100%100%0%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Home United: WWWW • Albirex Niigata S: DWW

League goals

Metric Home United Albirex Niigata S
HATHAT
GF total71219268
GF avg3.56.04.82.03.02.7
GA total202202
GA avg1.00.00.52.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHome UnitedAlbirex Niigata S
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%33%
1.5100%0%100%33%
2.575%0%33%0%
3.575%0%33%0%
4.575%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHome UnitedAlbirex Niigata S
HATHAT
Clean sheets022022
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricHome UnitedAlbirex Niigata S
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHome UnitedAlbirex Niigata S
Wins40
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-7—0-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For5724
Goals Against1020

Model comparison

MetricHome UnitedAlbirex Niigata S
Form63%37%
Att70%30%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h60%40%
Goals71%29%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Winner : Home United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw6.00 @ Bet365
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Home United = 1.47 (league 1.67), Albirex Niigata S = 1.50 (league 2.00)

Albirex Niigata S
0 1 2 3 4 5
Home United 0 5.1% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.5% 11.3% 8.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.7% 4.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 38.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1