Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 11:30 •
Bishan Stadium
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.72)
2.03 (league 1.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.6% | 21.3% | 44.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Hougang United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Balestier Khalsa | 0 | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Balestier Khalsa carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 126 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Balestier Khalsa +14.7, Hougang United -30.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Balestier Khalsa
vs
Hougang United
Elo gapBalestier Khalsa +126
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo2948.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2948.9
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Balestier Khalsa | Hougang United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1519.9 | 1429 |
| Form Elo | 1532.5 | 1417.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1485.7 | 1497.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1604.9 | 1481.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1344 | 1363.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.7 | -30.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Balestier Khalsa last-5 Elo change: +14.7; Hougang United last-5 Elo change: -30.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Balestier Khalsa | Hougang United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 33% | 19% |
| Defense | 67% | 48% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Balestier Khalsa | Hougang United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 44% | 50% | 47% | 22% | 50% | 35% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 56% | 25% | 41% | 78% | 50% | 65% |
Balestier KhalsaDLWDWLLLLWWWWLWWL
Hougang UnitedLLWLLWLWLWWLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Balestier Khalsa | Hougang United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 17 | 31 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 23 | 15 | 38 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
| GA avg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Balestier Khalsa | Hougang United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 94% | 71% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 59% | 35% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 41% | 12% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 18% | 0% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 12% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Balestier Khalsa | Hougang United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Balestier Khalsa | Hougang United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Balestier Khalsa | Hougang United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Balestier Khalsa | Hougang United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.36 @ Bet365
No3.30 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
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