Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:30 •
Messendorf Trainingszentrum
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.63)
1.17 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5% | 15.7% | 13.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Südburgenland W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sturm Graz W | 0 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sturm Graz W | Südburgenland W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 37% | 42% |
| Defense | 63% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 24 | 4.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sturm Graz W | Südburgenland W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 83% | 58% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 17% | 42% | 83% | 67% | 75% |
Form: Sturm Graz W: WLWWLWWWLLLW • Südburgenland W: DLWLLLLLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Sturm Graz W | Südburgenland W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 16 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 18 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sturm Graz W | Südburgenland W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 58% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 42% | 50% | 83% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 8% | 33% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 58% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sturm Graz W | Südburgenland W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sturm Graz W | Südburgenland W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sturm Graz W | Südburgenland W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-7 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sturm Graz W | Südburgenland W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 97% | 3% |
| Total | 76.6% | 23.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sturm Graz W = 2.76 (league 1.63), Südburgenland W = 1.17 (league 1.54)
| Südburgenland W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sturm Graz W | 0 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.5% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 13.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1