Expected Goals
3.06 (league 2.06) 1.88 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.9% 16.2% 20.8%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.4%
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jednota Bánová
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dolný Kubín 0 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.2% 4.1% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
2 3.4% 6.3% 5.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.4% 6.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.6% 4.9% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Dolný Kubín carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 106 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dolný Kubín -0.9, Jednota Bánová -29.7.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Dolný Kubín Elo 1439 · -0.9
vs
Jednota Bánová Elo 1368 · -29.7
Elo gapDolný Kubín +106
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2807
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2807
Elo home share 65%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Dolný Kubín Jednota Bánová
Overall Elo14391368
Form Elo1434.41357.2
Home / Away Elo1486.61433.2
Attack Elo1549.11403.6
Defense Elo1286.71254.1
Last 5 Elo change-0.9-29.7

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dolný Kubín last-5 Elo change: -0.9; Jednota Bánová last-5 Elo change: -29.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDolný KubínJednota Bánová
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack100%33%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dolný Kubín Jednota Bánová
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins20%18%19%18%0%10%
Draws30%18%24%18%20%19%
Loses50%64%57%64%80%71%
Dolný KubínLLLLDLLDWLWWLLLDDDLWL
Jednota BánováLLLLLLDLLDLDWLLLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Dolný Kubín Jednota Bánová
HATHAT
GF total18173591221
GF avg1.81.51.70.81.21.0
GA total233255183553
GA avg2.32.92.61.63.52.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDolný KubínJednota Bánová
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%86%62%86%
1.548%67%19%71%
2.529%48%14%48%
3.510%43%5%19%
4.50%14%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDolný KubínJednota Bánová
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score224628

Penalties

MetricDolný KubínJednota Bánová
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDolný KubínJednota Bánová
Wins21
Draws31
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-0
Biggest losses2-65-11-68-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against6568

Model comparison

MetricDolný KubínJednota Bánová
Form56%44%
Att75%25%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total55.8%44.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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