Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 •
Futbalový štadion NTC Poprad
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.93)
0.65 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.8% | 31.9% | 21.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Vranov nad Topľou | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Poprad | 0 | 17.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Poprad carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 71 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Poprad +37.8, Vranov nad Topľou -34.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Poprad
vs
Vranov nad Topľou
Elo gapPoprad +71
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3013.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3013.4
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Poprad | Vranov nad Topľou |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1524.6 | 1488.8 |
| Form Elo | 1541.9 | 1467 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528.7 | 1480.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1567.7 | 1469.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1526.8 | 1474.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +37.8 | -34.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Poprad last-5 Elo change: +37.8; Vranov nad Topľou last-5 Elo change: -34.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Poprad | Vranov nad Topľou |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 58% | 32% |
| Defense | 68% | 21% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Poprad | Vranov nad Topľou | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 50% | 30% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 10% | 10% | 10% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 50% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
PopradWLLLDLWLLLLWWLWWWWLD
Vranov nad TopľouDDLLWDLWLDWDLDDLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Poprad | Vranov nad Topľou | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 19 | 29 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Poprad | Vranov nad Topľou | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 70% | 70% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 45% | 25% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 5% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Poprad | Vranov nad Topľou | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Poprad | Vranov nad Topľou |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Poprad | Vranov nad Topľou |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Poprad | Vranov nad Topľou |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…