MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Spišská Nová Ves

3. liga - East — Slovakia

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:30 • Futbalový štadión MŠK TESLA Stropkov

Not Started

MSK Tesla Stropkov

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Spišská Nová Ves

Expected Goals

0.72 (league 1.94) 2.30 (league 1.24)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
10.0%	17.0%	69.9%

best score tips

0 - 2

12.9%

0 - 1

11.2%

0 - 3

9.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Spišská Nová Ves
		0	1	2	3	4	5
MSK Tesla Stropkov	0	4.9%	11.2%	12.9%	9.9%	5.7%	2.6%
	1	3.5%	8.1%	9.3%	7.1%	4.1%	1.9%
	2	1.3%	2.9%	3.4%	2.6%	1.5%	0.7%
	3	0.3%	0.7%	0.8%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: MSK Tesla Stropkov +3.2, Spišská Nová Ves +27.5.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

MSK Tesla Stropkov Elo 1601.1 · +3.2

Spišská Nová Ves Elo 1622.4 · +27.5

Elo gapMSK Tesla Stropkov +14

Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo3223.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3223.5

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Must Watch

Metric	MSK Tesla Stropkov	Spišská Nová Ves
Overall Elo	1601.1	1622.4
Form Elo	1616.3	1642.9
Home / Away Elo	1551.3	1551.6
Attack Elo	1713.7	1672.8
Defense Elo	1495.3	1585.4
Last 5 Elo change	+3.2	+27.5

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. MSK Tesla Stropkov last-5 Elo change: +3.2; Spišská Nová Ves last-5 Elo change: +27.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	MSK Tesla Stropkov	Spišská Nová Ves
Played	5	5
Form	47%	73%
Attack	37%	47%
Defense	63%	84%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	9 \| 1.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%

FT probability

2.5+

66%

FT probability

3.5+

47%

FT probability

BTTS

74%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	MSK Tesla Stropkov			Spišská Nová Ves
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	10	10	20	10	10	20
Wins	70%	50%	60%	80%	70%	75%
Draws	10%	20%	15%	10%	30%	20%
Loses	20%	30%	25%	10%	0%	5%

MSK Tesla StropkovLDWWLWWLWWDWWWWLDLWW

Spišská Nová VesWWWDWDWWWWWWWWLDDWWW

League goals

Metric	MSK Tesla Stropkov			Spišská Nová Ves
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	20	22	42	30	22	52
GF avg	2.0	2.2	2.1	3.0	2.2	2.6
GA total	13	16	29	9	7	16
GA avg	1.3	1.6	1.5	0.9	0.7	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	MSK Tesla Stropkov		Spišská Nová Ves
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	85%	85%	95%	55%
1.5	65%	35%	85%	15%
2.5	30%	15%	45%	10%
3.5	25%	10%	20%	0%
4.5	5%	0%	10%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	MSK Tesla Stropkov			Spišská Nová Ves
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	0	3	4	5	9
Failed to score	2	1	3	0	1	1

Penalties

Metric	MSK Tesla Stropkov	Spišská Nová Ves
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	MSK Tesla Stropkov	Spišská Nová Ves
Wins	4	8
Draws	1	2
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	1-5	6-0	0-4
Biggest losses	1-4	4-1	1-3	—
Goals For	4	5	6	4
Goals Against	4	4	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	MSK Tesla Stropkov	Spišská Nová Ves
Form	39%	61%
Att	44%	56%
Def	30%	70%
Poisson Distribution	26%	74%
H2h	40%	60%
Goals	44%	56%
Total	37.2%	62.8%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Spišská Nová Ves

Metric	MSK Tesla Stropkov	Spišská Nová Ves
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0