Malacky vs Veľké Ludince

3. liga - West — Slovakia

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 • Futbalový štadión FC Malacky

Not Started

Malacky

—

Veľké Ludince

Expected Goals

1.84 (league 1.92) 1.36 (league 1.10)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
47.5%	22.8%	28.3%

best score tips

1 - 1

10.2%

2 - 1

9.4%

1 - 0

7.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Veľké Ludince
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Malacky	0	4.1%	5.6%	3.8%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
	1	7.5%	10.3%	7.0%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
	2	6.8%	9.3%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
	3	4.2%	5.7%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
	4	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Malacky -25.4, Veľké Ludince +34.6.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Malacky Elo 1424.2 · -25.4

Veľké Ludince Elo 1455.2 · +34.6

Elo gapMalacky +4

Home / draw / away36% / 30% / 34%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo2879.4

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2879.4

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	Malacky	Veľké Ludince
Overall Elo	1424.2	1455.2
Form Elo	1396.1	1474
Home / Away Elo	1481.9	1451.1
Attack Elo	1502.8	1506.4
Defense Elo	1382.7	1376.6
Last 5 Elo change	-25.4	+34.6

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Malacky last-5 Elo change: -25.4; Veľké Ludince last-5 Elo change: +34.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Malacky	Veľké Ludince
Played	5	5
Form	20%	67%
Attack	33%	53%
Defense	7%	60%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	14 \| 2.8	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%

FT probability

2.5+

66%

FT probability

3.5+

47%

FT probability

BTTS

80%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Malacky			Veľké Ludince
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	11	22	11	11	22
Wins	27%	9%	18%	64%	18%	41%
Draws	36%	9%	23%	0%	18%	9%
Loses	36%	82%	59%	36%	64%	50%

MalackyDLLWLDDLLDLWLWLLDWLLLL

Veľké LudinceLLWLLLLWDLLLWWLWWWLWDW

League goals

Metric	Malacky			Veľké Ludince
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	18	12	30	20	11	31
GF avg	1.6	1.1	1.4	1.8	1.0	1.4
GA total	16	34	50	15	24	39
GA avg	1.5	3.1	2.3	1.4	2.2	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Malacky		Veľké Ludince
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	68%	95%	91%	82%
1.5	36%	68%	32%	41%
2.5	14%	36%	14%	27%
3.5	5%	18%	5%	23%
4.5	5%	9%	0%	5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Malacky			Veľké Ludince
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	2	2	4
Failed to score	4	3	7	1	1	2

Penalties

Metric	Malacky	Veľké Ludince
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Malacky	Veľké Ludince
Wins	1	3
Draws	2	1
Losses	2	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	7-2	2-3	4-1	0-2
Biggest losses	0-3	5-0	1-4	5-1
Goals For	7	3	4	2
Goals Against	3	5	4	5

Model comparison

Metric	Malacky	Veľké Ludince
Form	23%	77%
Att	38%	62%
Def	30%	70%
Poisson Distribution	61%	39%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	47%	53%
Total	41.5%	58.5%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Malacky vs Veľké Ludince

Metric	Malacky	Veľké Ludince
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0