Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Hristo Botev
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.69) 2.30 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 19.9% 46.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kyustendil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Balkan Botevgrad 0 1.7% 3.9% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9%
1 3.0% 6.9% 8.0% 6.1% 3.5% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.1% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.6% 3.7% 4.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.9%
4 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBalkan BotevgradKyustendil
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack45%100%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Balkan Botevgrad Kyustendil
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%100%50%75%
Draws50%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses25%75%50%0%50%25%

Form: Balkan Botevgrad: WDLLLLDW • Kyustendil: LWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Balkan Botevgrad Kyustendil
HATHAT
GF total61711718
GF avg1.50.30.92.81.82.3
GA total611174812
GA avg1.52.82.11.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBalkan BotevgradKyustendil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%100%75%
1.525%50%63%50%
2.50%25%38%25%
3.50%25%13%0%
4.50%25%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBalkan BotevgradKyustendil
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score033000

Penalties

MetricBalkan BotevgradKyustendil
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBalkan BotevgradKyustendil
Wins11
Draws10
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-02-3
Biggest losses1-25-0—3-1
Goals For2153
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricBalkan BotevgradKyustendil
Form21%79%
Att31%69%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kyustendil

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Balkan Botevgrad = 1.78 (league 1.69), Kyustendil = 2.30 (league 1.17)

Kyustendil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Balkan Botevgrad 0 1.7% 3.9% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9%
1 3.0% 6.9% 8.0% 6.1% 3.5% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.1% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.6% 3.7% 4.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.9%
4 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 46.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1