Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Struma
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.71) 0.67 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.9% 40.1% 31.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.3%
0 - 1
18.2%
1 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Germaneya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Simitli 0 27.3% 18.2% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 11.5% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeptemvri SimitliGermaneya
Played55
Form13%7%
Attack11%26%
Defense37%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Septemvri Simitli Germaneya
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins20%0%11%0%0%0%
Draws60%50%56%0%75%33%
Loses20%50%33%100%25%67%

Form: Septemvri Simitli: WDDDDLLDL • Germaneya: LDLDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Septemvri Simitli Germaneya
HATHAT
GF total325459
GF avg0.60.50.60.81.31.0
GA total3101311718
GA avg0.62.51.42.21.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeptemvri SimitliGermaneya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%56%78%100%
1.511%33%22%67%
2.50%22%0%22%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeptemvri SimitliGermaneya
HATHAT
Clean sheets314000
Failed to score325202

Penalties

MetricSeptemvri SimitliGermaneya
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSeptemvri SimitliGermaneya
Wins10
Draws41
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses0-26-00-24-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against2634

Model comparison

MetricSeptemvri SimitliGermaneya
Form67%33%
Att29%71%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : Septemvri Simitli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Simitli = 0.63 (league 1.71), Germaneya = 0.67 (league 1.17)

Germaneya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Simitli 0 27.3% 18.2% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 11.5% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.9% · Draw 40.1% · Away win 31.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1