Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 •
Gradski stadion
Expected Goals
5.13 (league 1.71)
0.55 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
best score tips
5 - 0
10.1%
4 - 0
9.8%
3 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Septemvri Simitli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strumska Slava | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 69% | 31% |
| Defense | 44% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 25% | 17% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 17% | 50% | 30% |
Form: Strumska Slava: WWWLDWWLWD • Septemvri Simitli: WDDDDLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 80% | 50% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 60% | 20% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 0-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Strumska Slava and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Strumska Slava = 5.13 (league 1.71), Septemvri Simitli = 0.55 (league 1.17)
| Septemvri Simitli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strumska Slava | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 2.3% · Away win 0.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1