Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Letishte
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.25 (league 1.71) 1.09 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 7.1% 4.5%
best score tips
4 - 1
7.1%
3 - 1
6.7%
4 - 0
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kyustendil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitosha Bistritsa 0 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.3% 4.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.5% 6.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitosha BistritsaKyustendil
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack75%50%
Defense88%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitosha Bistritsa Kyustendil
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins75%33%50%80%40%60%
Draws25%67%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%20%60%40%

Form: Vitosha Bistritsa: WWDDDWDDWW • Kyustendil: LWLWWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Vitosha Bistritsa Kyustendil
HATHAT
GF total1392212820
GF avg3.31.52.22.41.62.0
GA total33661117
GA avg0.80.50.61.22.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitosha BistritsaKyustendil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%100%80%
1.550%10%50%60%
2.530%0%30%30%
3.530%0%10%0%
4.530%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitosha BistritsaKyustendil
HATHAT
Clean sheets145202
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricVitosha BistritsaKyustendil
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVitosha BistritsaKyustendil
Wins25
Draws30
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-53-02-3
Biggest losses1-23-1
Goals For5553
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricVitosha BistritsaKyustendil
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Winner : Vitosha Bistritsa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitosha Bistritsa = 4.25 (league 1.71), Kyustendil = 1.09 (league 1.17)

Kyustendil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitosha Bistritsa 0 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.3% 4.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.5% 6.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 4.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1