Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadion Georgi Benkovski
Expected Goals
3.68 (league 1.69)
1.23 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.5%
4 - 1
6.9%
3 - 0
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Septemvri Sofia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kostinbrod | 0 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kostinbrod | Septemvri Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 19% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kostinbrod | Septemvri Sofia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 50% | 17% | 30% | 75% | 17% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 25% | 83% | 60% |
Form: Kostinbrod: LWLWWLDLLL • Septemvri Sofia II: LWWWLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Kostinbrod | Septemvri Sofia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 16 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kostinbrod | Septemvri Sofia II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 80% | 80% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 70% | 30% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kostinbrod | Septemvri Sofia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kostinbrod | Septemvri Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kostinbrod | Septemvri Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-3 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kostinbrod | Septemvri Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 39.3% | 60.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Septemvri Sofia II and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kostinbrod = 3.68 (league 1.69), Septemvri Sofia II = 1.23 (league 1.17)
| Septemvri Sofia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kostinbrod | 0 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 10.4% · Away win 7.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1