Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Osogovo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.68) 1.23 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 15.3% 13.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kostinbrod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kyustendil 0 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 8.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKyustendilKostinbrod
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack62%54%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kyustendil Kostinbrod
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins80%33%55%40%17%27%
Draws0%0%0%20%17%18%
Loses20%67%45%40%67%55%

Form: Kyustendil: LWLWWWWWLLL • Kostinbrod: LWLWWLDLLLD

League goals

Metric Kyustendil Kostinbrod
HATHAT
GF total1292111718
GF avg2.41.51.92.21.21.6
GA total6131991221
GA avg1.22.21.71.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKyustendilKostinbrod
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%82%91%82%
1.545%64%45%73%
2.527%27%9%18%
3.59%0%9%9%
4.59%0%9%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKyustendilKostinbrod
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricKyustendilKostinbrod
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKyustendilKostinbrod
Wins52
Draws01
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-30-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-25-1
Goals For5352
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricKyustendilKostinbrod
Form75%25%
Att53%47%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h80%20%
Goals76%24%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Kyustendil or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kyustendil = 2.85 (league 1.68), Kostinbrod = 1.23 (league 1.17)

Kostinbrod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kyustendil 0 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 8.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 13.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1