Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:00 •
National Stadium Vasil Levski
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.69)
0.24 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.2% | 18.5% | 4.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.9%
2 - 0
21.2%
3 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Balkan Botevgrad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Septemvri Simitli | 0 | 12.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.9% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.2% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 54% | 69% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 18% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 45% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 17% | 60% | 36% | 33% | 80% | 55% |
Form: Septemvri Simitli: WDDDDLLDLWL • Balkan Botevgrad: WDLLLLDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 13 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 64% | 73% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 36% | 27% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 18% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Balkan Botevgrad
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Simitli = 1.85 (league 1.69), Balkan Botevgrad = 0.24 (league 1.17)
| Balkan Botevgrad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Septemvri Simitli | 0 | 12.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.9% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.2% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 4.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1