Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion German
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.61 (league 1.71) 1.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.7% 13.6% 15.8%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.0%
3 - 2
5.7%
4 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Kyustendil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia II 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.4% 2.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.6% 5.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
3 3.1% 6.0% 5.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
5 2.0% 3.9% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeptemvri Sofia IIKyustendil
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack30%60%
Defense0%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Septemvri Sofia II Kyustendil
HATHAT
Played48126612
Wins75%13%33%67%33%50%
Draws0%13%8%0%0%0%
Loses25%75%58%33%67%50%

Form: Septemvri Sofia II: LWWWLWLLLLDL • Kyustendil: LWLWWWWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Septemvri Sofia II Kyustendil
HATHAT
GF total1171812921
GF avg2.80.91.52.01.51.8
GA total6202681321
GA avg1.52.52.21.32.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeptemvri Sofia IIKyustendil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%92%83%
1.533%75%42%67%
2.525%25%25%25%
3.517%17%8%0%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeptemvri Sofia IIKyustendil
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricSeptemvri Sofia IIKyustendil
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSeptemvri Sofia IIKyustendil
Wins35
Draws10
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-02-3
Biggest losses0-15-00-23-1
Goals For4253
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricSeptemvri Sofia IIKyustendil
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kyustendil and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Sofia II = 3.61 (league 1.71), Kyustendil = 1.92 (league 1.17)

Kyustendil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia II 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.4% 2.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.6% 5.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
3 3.1% 6.0% 5.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
5 2.0% 3.9% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 15.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1