Septemvri Simitli vs Vitosha Bistritsa

Third League - Southwest — Bulgaria

Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • National Stadium Vasil Levski

Match Finished

Septemvri Simitli

1 - 2

Vitosha Bistritsa

Expected Goals

0.42 (league 1.69) 0.72 (league 1.17)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
19.0%	42.6%	38.3%

best score tips

0 - 0

32.3%

0 - 1

23.1%

1 - 0

13.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Vitosha Bistritsa
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Septemvri Simitli	0	32.3%	23.1%	8.3%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	13.4%	9.6%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	2.8%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Septemvri Simitli	Vitosha Bistritsa
Played	5	5
Form	47%	80%
Attack	47%	68%
Defense	42%	79%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	13 \| 2.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%

FT probability

2.5+

46%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

54%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Septemvri Simitli			Vitosha Bistritsa
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	6	13	6	7	13
Wins	29%	17%	23%	83%	29%	54%
Draws	57%	33%	46%	17%	57%	38%
Loses	14%	50%	31%	0%	14%	8%

Form: Septemvri Simitli: WDDDDLLDLWLDW • Vitosha Bistritsa: WWDDDWDDWWWWL

League goals

Metric	Septemvri Simitli			Vitosha Bistritsa
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	7	7	14	19	10	29
GF avg	1.0	1.2	1.1	3.2	1.4	2.2
GA total	4	14	18	4	5	9
GA avg	0.6	2.3	1.4	0.7	0.7	0.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Septemvri Simitli		Vitosha Bistritsa
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	54%	62%	85%	54%
1.5	31%	31%	54%	15%
2.5	15%	23%	31%	0%
3.5	8%	8%	31%	0%
4.5	0%	8%	23%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Septemvri Simitli			Vitosha Bistritsa
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	1	5	2	4	6
Failed to score	4	2	6	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Septemvri Simitli	Vitosha Bistritsa
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Septemvri Simitli	Vitosha Bistritsa
Wins	1	4
Draws	4	3
Losses	2	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	1-3	5-0	0-5
Biggest losses	0-2	6-0	—	2-1
Goals For	4	3	5	5
Goals Against	2	6	1	2

Model comparison

Metric	Septemvri Simitli	Vitosha Bistritsa
Form	37%	63%
Att	41%	59%
Def	27%	73%
Poisson Distribution	35%	65%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	40.0%	60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vitosha Bistritsa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Septemvri Simitli vs Vitosha Bistritsa

Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Simitli = 0.42 (league 1.69), Vitosha Bistritsa = 0.72 (league 1.17)

		Vitosha Bistritsa
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Septemvri Simitli	0	32.3%	23.1%	8.3%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	13.4%	9.6%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	2.8%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 42.6% · Away win 38.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Septemvri Simitli	Vitosha Bistritsa
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0