Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 12:00 •
Stadion Osogovo
Expected Goals
3.10 (league 1.71)
1.91 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.4% | 16.1% | 20.9% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.3%
2 - 1
6.1%
3 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Septemvri Simitli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kyustendil | 0 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kyustendil | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 53% | 53% |
| Defense | 47% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kyustendil | Septemvri Simitli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 71% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 0% | 11% | 6% | 44% | 29% | 38% |
| Loses | 29% | 56% | 44% | 22% | 43% | 31% |
Form: Kyustendil: LWLWWWWWLLLLDLWW • Septemvri Simitli: WDDDDLLDLWLDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Kyustendil | Septemvri Simitli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 13 | 29 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 6 | 16 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kyustendil | Septemvri Simitli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 81% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 63% | 31% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 25% | 19% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kyustendil | Septemvri Simitli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kyustendil | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kyustendil | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kyustendil | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Septemvri Simitli
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kyustendil = 3.10 (league 1.71), Septemvri Simitli = 1.91 (league 1.17)
| Septemvri Simitli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kyustendil | 0 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 20.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1