Mortágua vs Samora Correir

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C — Portugal

Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 • Campo da Gandarada

Match Finished

Mortágua

0 - 0

Samora Correir

Expected Goals

1.22 (league 1.07) 0.26 (league 1.14)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
61.3%	30.6%	7.9%

best score tips

1 - 0

27.7%

0 - 0

22.7%

2 - 0

16.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Samora Correir
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Mortágua	0	22.7%	6.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	27.7%	7.3%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	16.9%	4.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	6.9%	1.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Mortágua	Samora Correir
Played	5	5
Form	47%	20%
Attack	30%	10%
Defense	40%	30%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	1 \| 0.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%

FT probability

2.5+

36%

FT probability

3.5+

25%

FT probability

BTTS

55%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Mortágua			Samora Correir
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	3	6	3	3	6
Wins	33%	33%	33%	33%	0%	17%
Draws	33%	33%	33%	0%	33%	17%
Loses	33%	33%	33%	67%	67%	67%

Form: Mortágua: DDWWLL • Samora Correir: DWLLLL

League goals

Metric	Mortágua			Samora Correir
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	3	1	4	1	1	2
GF avg	1.0	0.3	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.3
GA total	3	4	7	4	4	8
GA avg	1.0	1.3	1.2	1.3	1.3	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Mortágua		Samora Correir
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	50%	50%	33%	83%
1.5	17%	33%	0%	33%
2.5	0%	17%	0%	17%
3.5	0%	17%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Mortágua			Samora Correir
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	2	3	1	0	1
Failed to score	1	2	3	2	2	4

Penalties

Metric	Mortágua	Samora Correir
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Mortágua	Samora Correir
Wins	2	1
Draws	2	1
Losses	0	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	0-1	1-0	—
Biggest losses	0-2	4-0	0-3	2-0
Goals For	2	1	1	1
Goals Against	2	4	3	2

Model comparison

Metric	Mortágua	Samora Correir
Form	70%	30%
Att	75%	25%
Def	54%	46%
Poisson Distribution	79%	21%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	69.5%	30.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mortágua or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 1xBet

Draw3.10 @ Bet365

Away4.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ 1xBet

No1.63 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Bet365 Updated: 2025-10-25T18:16:19+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.75
Draw	3.10
Away	4.60

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.30
Away	3.40

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.5	1.80
Away -0.5	2.00

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	2.38
Under 2.5	1.53

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	17.00
Home/Away	41.00
Draw/Away	9.00
Draw/Draw	4.50
Home/Home	2.88
Draw/Home	4.33
Away/Home	29.00
Away/Draw	19.00
Away/Away	7.50

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.50
2:0	7.00
2:1	11.00
3:0	13.00
3:1	21.00
3:2	41.00
4:0	26.00
4:1	41.00
0:0	6.00
1:1	7.00
2:2	23.00
0:1	10.00
0:2	21.00
0:3	41.00
1:2	19.00
1:3	41.00
2:3	51.00
3:3	81.00
4:2	67.00
5:0	51.00
5:1	67.00

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.75
2:0	9.50
2:1	26.00
3:0	29.00
3:1	67.00
4:0	81.00
0:0	2.38
1:1	10.00
2:2	81.00
0:1	6.50
0:2	26.00
0:3	81.00
1:2	41.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.12
Home/Away	1.28
Draw/Away	1.91

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.40
Draw	2.00
Away	5.00

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.62
Draw	6.00
Away	3.00

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.98
Away -0.25	1.82

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.14
Home/Away	1.73
Draw/Away	1.53

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.02
Even	1.82

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.20
Even	1.67

Bet ID 45 — Corners Over Under

Selection	Odds
Over 9	1.98
Under 9	1.82

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.10
Even	1.67

Bet ID 50 — Goal Line

Selection	Odds
Over 2	1.85
Under 2	1.95

Bet ID 72 — Goal Line (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.75	1.78
Under 0.75	2.02

1xBet Updated: 2025-10-25T18:16:19+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.77
Draw	3.10
Away	4.70

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0	1.30
Away +0	3.40

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.0	1.85
Under 2.0	1.95
Over 2.5	2.38
Under 2.5	1.53

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	17.00
Home/Away	41.00
Draw/Away	9.00
Draw/Draw	4.50
Home/Home	2.88
Draw/Home	4.33
Away/Home	29.00
Away/Draw	19.00
Away/Away	7.50

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.25
No	1.63

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.50
2:0	7.00
2:1	11.00
3:0	13.00
3:1	21.00
3:2	41.00
4:0	26.00
4:1	41.00
0:0	6.00
1:1	7.00
2:2	23.00
0:1	10.00
0:2	21.00
0:3	41.00
1:2	19.00
1:3	41.00
2:3	50.00
3:3	80.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	65.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	50.00
5:1	65.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.75
2:0	9.50
2:1	26.00
3:0	29.00
3:1	65.00
4:0	80.00
0:0	2.38
1:1	10.00
2:2	80.00
0:1	6.50
0:2	26.00
0:3	80.00
1:2	41.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.12
Home/Away	1.29
Draw/Away	1.91

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Mortágua vs Samora Correir

Expected goals (λ): Mortágua = 1.22 (league 1.07), Samora Correir = 0.26 (league 1.14)

		Samora Correir
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Mortágua	0	22.7%	6.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	27.7%	7.3%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	16.9%	4.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	6.9%	1.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Mortágua	Samora Correir
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0