Ligue 1 — Algeria
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.23) 0.44 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.1% 17.3% 6.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.4%
1 - 0
16.8%
3 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
ES Setif
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mostaganem 0 8.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.4% 7.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMostaganemES Setif
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack21%36%
Defense79%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mostaganem ES Setif
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%0%20%50%0%20%
Draws50%33%40%50%67%60%
Loses0%67%40%0%33%20%

Form: Mostaganem: LWDDL • ES Setif: DDDWL

League goals

Metric Mostaganem ES Setif
HATHAT
GF total303325
GF avg1.50.00.61.50.71.0
GA total123257
GA avg0.50.70.61.01.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMostaganemES Setif
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%80%100%
1.520%0%20%20%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMostaganemES Setif
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricMostaganemES Setif
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMostaganemES Setif
Wins11
Draws23
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-1—
Biggest losses—1-0—3-0
Goals For2021
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricMostaganemES Setif
Form45%55%
Att38%63%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.2%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Mostaganem or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away4.40 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.42 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.72 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mostaganem = 2.08 (league 1.23), ES Setif = 0.44 (league 0.80)

ES Setif
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mostaganem 0 8.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.4% 7.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.1% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1