Ligue 1 — Algeria
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.23) 0.25 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.1% 49.0% 12.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
42.3%
1 - 0
25.8%
0 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
El Bayadh
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 42.3% 10.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.8% 6.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSM AlgerEl Bayadh
Played45
Form42%13%
Attack14%14%
Defense86%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.57 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

38%
FT probability

2.5+

27%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USM Alger El Bayadh
HATHAT
Played224325
Wins0%50%25%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%67%0%40%
Loses0%50%25%33%100%60%

Form: USM Alger: DWDL • El Bayadh: LLDLD

League goals

Metric USM Alger El Bayadh
HATHAT
GF total112202
GF avg0.50.50.50.70.00.4
GA total112437
GA avg0.50.50.51.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSM AlgerEl Bayadh
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%40%100%
1.50%0%0%40%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSM AlgerEl Bayadh
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricUSM AlgerEl Bayadh
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUSM AlgerEl Bayadh
Wins10
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1——
Biggest losses—1-00-22-0
Goals For1110
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricUSM AlgerEl Bayadh
Form71%29%
Att50%50%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total63.4%36.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : USM Alger or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Unibet
Away8.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.56 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ Unibet
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USM Alger = 0.61 (league 1.23), El Bayadh = 0.25 (league 0.80)

El Bayadh
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 42.3% 10.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.8% 6.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 49.0% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1