Ligue 1 — Algeria
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.23) 1.75 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 22.4% 38.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mostaganem
0 1 2 3 4 5
MC Alger 0 3.1% 5.5% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.4% 9.4% 8.2% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.6% 4.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMC AlgerMostaganem
Played35
Form78%53%
Attack29%29%
Defense86%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MC Alger Mostaganem
HATHAT
Played123336
Wins100%50%67%67%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%33%33%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%67%33%

Form: MC Alger: DWW • Mostaganem: LWDDLW

League goals

Metric MC Alger Mostaganem
HATHAT
GF total314404
GF avg3.00.51.31.30.00.7
GA total202123
GA avg2.00.00.70.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMC AlgerMostaganem
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%50%50%
1.533%33%17%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMC AlgerMostaganem
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score011033

Penalties

MetricMC AlgerMostaganem
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMC AlgerMostaganem
Wins01
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-12-0—
Biggest losses———1-0
Goals For3120
Goals Against2011

Model comparison

MetricMC AlgerMostaganem
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : MC Alger or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Superbet
Draw4.40 @ Marathonbet
Away11.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.25 @ Bet365
No1.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MC Alger = 1.71 (league 1.23), Mostaganem = 1.75 (league 0.80)

Mostaganem
0 1 2 3 4 5
MC Alger 0 3.1% 5.5% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.4% 9.4% 8.2% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.6% 4.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 38.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1