Ligue 1 — Algeria
Mon, Nov 17 2025 • 15:00 • Mohamed Boumezrag Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.23) 1.00 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 35.6% 50.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.9%
0 - 1
24.9%
0 - 2
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
USM Alger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mostaganem 0 24.9% 24.9% 12.4% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 9.7% 9.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMostaganemUSM Alger
Played55
Form0%60%
Attack0%60%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 06 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mostaganem USM Alger
HATHAT
Played5611459
Wins40%0%18%25%40%33%
Draws20%17%18%75%40%56%
Loses40%83%64%0%20%11%

Form: Mostaganem: LWDDLWLLLLL • USM Alger: DWDLDDWWD

League goals

Metric Mostaganem USM Alger
HATHAT
GF total404358
GF avg0.80.00.40.81.00.9
GA total459235
GA avg0.80.80.80.50.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMostaganemUSM Alger
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.527%73%67%56%
1.59%9%11%0%
2.50%0%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMostaganemUSM Alger
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score268123

Penalties

MetricMostaganemUSM Alger
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMostaganemUSM Alger
Wins12
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—1-01-3
Biggest losses0-21-0—1-0
Goals For2013
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricMostaganemUSM Alger
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total32.5%67.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or USM Alger and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Superbet
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away2.14 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mostaganem = 0.39 (league 1.23), USM Alger = 1.00 (league 0.80)

USM Alger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mostaganem 0 24.9% 24.9% 12.4% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 9.7% 9.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 50.1%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1