Ligue 1 — Algeria
Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.25) 0.74 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.6% 38.5% 33.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.1%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ben Aknoun
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 25.1% 18.7% 6.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.9% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSM AlgerBen Aknoun
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack67%42%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USM Alger Ben Aknoun
HATHAT
Played47115510
Wins25%43%36%40%40%40%
Draws75%43%55%40%40%40%
Loses0%14%9%20%20%20%

Form: USM Alger: DWDLDDWWDDW • Ben Aknoun: LDWDDWWDLW

League goals

Metric USM Alger Ben Aknoun
HATHAT
GF total39124610
GF avg0.81.31.10.81.21.0
GA total268358
GA avg0.50.90.70.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSM AlgerBen Aknoun
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%80%70%
1.527%9%20%10%
2.59%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSM AlgerBen Aknoun
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricUSM AlgerBen Aknoun
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricUSM AlgerBen Aknoun
Wins22
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-31-01-2
Biggest losses—1-00-12-1
Goals For1312
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricUSM AlgerBen Aknoun
Form52%48%
Att62%38%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : USM Alger or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away9.00 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ 888Sport
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USM Alger = 0.64 (league 1.25), Ben Aknoun = 0.74 (league 0.81)

Ben Aknoun
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 25.1% 18.7% 6.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.9% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1