Ligue 1 — Algeria
Thu, Jan 8 2026 • 16:45 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.24) 1.05 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 24.6% 24.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Paradou AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Setif 0 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.2% 11.7% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES SetifParadou AC
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack33%78%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Setif Paradou AC
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins33%13%21%50%17%36%
Draws50%38%43%13%0%7%
Loses17%50%36%38%83%57%

Form: ES Setif: DDDWLLDLWDDWLL • Paradou AC: DLLLLLLLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric ES Setif Paradou AC
HATHAT
GF total74118412
GF avg1.20.50.81.00.70.9
GA total7111851015
GA avg1.21.41.30.61.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES SetifParadou AC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%64%64%
1.57%29%21%36%
2.50%21%0%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES SetifParadou AC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123505
Failed to score044235

Penalties

MetricES SetifParadou AC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricES SetifParadou AC
Wins14
Draws31
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-23-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricES SetifParadou AC
Form29%71%
Att30%70%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paradou AC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.42 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Betfair
No1.59 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Setif = 1.64 (league 1.24), Paradou AC = 1.05 (league 0.80)

Paradou AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Setif 0 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.2% 11.7% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 24.1%

vtt 8 , vtd1